On September 19th, the World Economic Forum
hosted a panel discussion in New York to introduce its just-published report, “Fromthe Margins to the Mainstream – Assessment of the Impact Investment Sector andOpportunities to Engage Mainstream Investors”. The panel included Goldman Sachs, Morgan
Stanley, Equilibrium Capital and Social Finance USA. The discussion and the report itself made a
number of points of relevance to microfinance and other impact sectors
targeting low income populations.
Among the good news:
a survey of the “millennial generation” finds them most often
identifying the purpose of business as “improving
society”, albeit followed closely by generating profit; both financial
intermediaries, like those represented on the panel, and advisors like
Cambridge Associates appear to increasingly incorporate impact sectors into
their portfolio constructs for clients.
Among the challenges:
family offices / HNWIs and Development Finance Institutions continue to
be the leading source of capital for impact investments, but these sources
represent just a small proportion of total global asset ownership: 2.5% compared with 48% and 39% held by
pension funds and insurance companies, respectively. And these institutional investors continue to
find impact investments challenging, due to scale, standardization and in some
cases, risk adjusted return mismatches.
In addition to these features of the landscape, the report
tries to add further precision and substance to the discussion of what
qualifies as impact investing in ways that resonate with current discussions
within the microfinance community. For
example, while the report concurs that, consistent with the view of many in the
microfinance community, “intention” to
achieve positive results is essential, it also insists that measuring results
against impact goals is also essential; good intentions are not enough.
The discussion highlighted some further themes that
preoccupy microfinance. For example, one
panelist noted that a bit more honesty is warranted about what impact investing
requires, noting that market rate, mainstream capital can only get so far on
its own: in the major “impact” sectors
in the US, nearly all housing and small business loans benefit from some
government guarantee or enhancement. This is not a transitional phase towards
maturity, but is a permanent feature of the landscape, albeit possibly in need of
redesign. Similarly, it can be expected
that at least some of the newer impact sectors are likely to also require ongoing
support in the form of credit enhancement or below market rate funding.
The discussion also touched on the position taken by some
microfinance managers that impact objectives are really just prudent risk
management, with one panelist stating that “the word impact never passes my
lips” when speaking with investors.
Instead the focus is on long term risk mitigation and the need to
enhance value across many dimensions in order to meet long term needs of
beneficiaries -- pension and insurance
companies obligations viewed from a 30 or 50 year perspective. While perhaps effective with investors though,
this approach would still seem to require some magical thinking to dispense
with the problems of externalities and free riding.
Finally, the discussion emphasized the central role played
by credible and meaningful metrics of impact – still an issue of debate within
the microfinance community. Social impact
bonds, a development that has received a lot of attention and enthusiasm in the
UK and now the US, for example, require
social metrics – and more specifically, data on social outcomes – in order to
work. Of course, they also require some
source of revenue or return – typically government or philanthropy -- that can
monetize the social benefit.
Microfinance generally does not have such a source and doesn’t
benefit from tax incentives. What incentives
it has benefited from, for example in the Netherlands, have been reduced in recent
years in the face of budget constraints.
The response of the microfinance community has been to work towards
eliminating the need for non-market capital.
The discussion suggested that such an approach is likely to fail or to
result in a significant reduction in the impact achievable. Rather, the experience of the impact
community broadly defined seems to point in the other direction: some form of subsidy or source of
monetization of social benefit is indeed essential and always will be if the
sector is to achieve its social objectives.
The question is then not whether subsidy is required, but where it will
come from particularly given the concentration of assets in the hands of
mainstream institutional investors.
For the foreseeable future, microfinance will require
continued philanthropic and government support to “crowd in” private financing
through credit enhancement and pre-investment capacity building. In the long term, though, if impact sectors
are to grow in the face of constrained government and philanthropic budgets the
goal has to be to create a meaningful bucket of private portfolios within the
“total portfolio construct” that is willing to accept higher risk / lower
financial returns in return for rigorously documented social benefit.
Grassroots is launching a fund to provide financing to MFIs
committed to high social benefit that in its first stage will rely on traditional
sources of non-market capital. But in
the medium term Grassroots will work to complement this fund with a parallel effort
to develop the pool of private capital that will replace this initial capital,
providing an exit and a basis for continued growth in the sector beyond what
official and philanthropic sources can sustain.
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